ERCOT Posts Spring 2022 Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy -- EnergyChoiceMatters.com

ERCOT Posts Spring 2022 Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy

March 17, 2022

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Copyright 2010-21 EnergyChoiceMatters.com
Reporting by Paul Ring • ring@energychoicematters.com

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ERCOT has posted the Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA) for the Spring 2022 season

"The ERCOT region is expected to have sufficient installed generating capacity to serve peak demands in the upcoming spring season, March – May 2022, under normal system conditions and most of the reserve capacity risk scenarios examined. The spring capacity planning reserve margin is forecasted at 52.5%, which is intended to cover resource outages, lower-than-expected renewable output, and higher-than-expected customer demand," the report states

Based on expected spring peak weather conditions, the peak demand for Spring 2022 is forecasted to be 64,729 MW.

A total of 94,394 MW of resource capacity is expected to be available for the spring season, the report states

Since the start of winter 2021-22, 31 units have been approved for synchronization to the ERCOT Grid. These units are comprised of wind, solar, and energy storage projects that total 1,027 MW based on the expected capacity contribution for wind and solar at the time of peak demand, and spring-rated capacity for thermal resources. An additional 367 MW of planned resource capacity constituting gas-fired and wind units are expected to be available to meet the spring peak demand, the report states

One extreme scenario (combining Forecasted April Peak Load / Extreme Unplanned Outages / Extreme Low Wind Output) did indicate a risk of EEA3 load shed under such conditions

See the SARA here

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